Pre-season projection preview – Middlesbrough

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Middlesbrough Last Season Middlesbrough has a strong 2015/16 Championship campaign, fully deserving automatic promotion after finishing second. It was a success built on defensive strength, conceding comfortably the fewest goals of any…

Pre-season projection preview – Manchester City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Manchester City. Last Season Manchester City have been the dominant Premier League team over the last few seasons in terms of underlying shot numbers – although trophy return doesn’t quite reflect…

Pre-season projection preview – Manchester United

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Manchester United. Last Season A dull Premier League campaign cost Van Gaal his job – despite winning the FA Cup. Although defensively dominant, only 6 teams registered fewer shots on target…

Championship 2016/17 Projection

The Championship starts tomorrow. It should be a fascinating season, with two erstwhile Premier League giants and Norwich joining from the top division, first-timers Burton, and clashes between former European Champions and former Champions League winning managers. I’ve run the numbers through my projection model (using my adjusted goals rating system) and it’s produced the following…

Pre-season projection preview – Leicester City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Leicester City. Last Season Leicester’s remarkable 2015/16 season needs little reminder, and is in no need of further analysis. Some still point to an element of luck – and, sure enough, they…

Pre-season projection preview – Hull City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Hull City. Last Season In many ways Hull City are the antithesis of fellow new-boys Burnley. I rated Hull as the best side in the Championship last season – with the…

Pre-season projection preview – Everton

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Everton. Last Season Everton underperformed last season. And it’s not difficult to identify the problem. Only Norwich and Villa conceded more shots on target. Roberto Martinez paid the price for this…

Pre-season projection preview – Crystal Palace

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Palace. Last Season Palace’s Cup Final appearance masked what was probably considered a poor season. They were solid bottom-half-of-table, without any serious threat of relegation. Goal scoring was the main problem….

Pre-season projection preview – Chelsea

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Chelsea. Last Season In many ways Chelsea’s demise last season was as shocking as Leicester’s ascendancy. And it’s still difficult to explain, given the squad was little changed from the one that…

Pre-season projection preview – Burnley

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Burnley. Last Season Burnley are a team that (like Leicester) defy statistical assessment. They were promoted 4 points clear as champions, yet my shot-based assessment rated them as the 6th best…

Pre-season projection preview – Bournemouth

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Bournemouth. Last Season Bournemouth tailed off towards the end of last season, although they easily achieved their main objective of avoiding relegation. They did well at preventing chances – but one…

Pre-season projection preview – Arsenal

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. First up Arsenal. Last Season There’s not much wrong  with Arsenal (other than never winning anything). Overall they had a strong season, creating chances freely and ultimately finishing second. However, in a…