La Liga 2016/17 projection, modelled solely using adjusted goal ratings (i.e. only uses retrospective data) Expected points
Month: August 2016
2016/17 Premier League Projection – Value in Spurs
After reviewing the impact of close season activity for each Premier League team, I’m now in a position to compile my first projection for the 2016/17 season. Unlike last year I have made some adjustment for each club’s player turnover. I’ve also made an allowance for the impact of teams’ participation in European Competition compared…
Pre-Season projection preview – West Ham United
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up West Ham United. Last Season West Ham had an excellent 2015/16 season – comfortably achieving their ambition of Premier League survival, and even securing European football. As I discussed here the market…
Pre-Season Projection preview – West Bromwich Albion
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up West Brom. Last Season West Brom’s 2015/16 campaign was pretty grim, registering the fewest shots on target. But, typical of a Tony Pulis managed side, they comfortably avoided relegation – mainly…
Pre-season Projection preview – Watford
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Watford. Last Season Watford achieved their objective of avoiding relegation. Their underlying numbers suggest that a finishing position of 13th was about right. Curiously, it also cost Quique Flores his job. But…
Pre-season projection preview -Tottenham Hotspur
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Spurs. Last Season Tottenhams’s underlying numbers last season were truly spectacular, leading the league for shots on target and (fewest) shots on target conceded. Only Manchester City scored more and Manchester United…
Pre-season projection preview – Swansea City
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Swansea. Last Season After looking like they may become embroiled in a relegation battle, Swansea did well to ultimately finish 12th last season. Overall this position seems about right. Player Turnover…
Pre-season projection preview – Sunderland
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Sunderland. Last Season Sunderland were poor last season. I rated them at the 3rd worst team. Concerningly they conceded more shots on target than any other team last season (and that includes…
Pre-season projection preview – Stoke City
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Stoke City Last Season Stoke are an odd team. They appear to be brimming with creative talent (my abiding memory of Stoke last season is how they destroyed both Man City’s and…
Pre-season projection preview – Southampton
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Southampton. Last Season Southampton have become a strong, top half Premier League team. My shot-based rating assessment ranked them 6th last season, and that’s where they finished in the table. Player Turnover…
Pre-season projection preview – Middlesbrough
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Middlesbrough Last Season Middlesbrough has a strong 2015/16 Championship campaign, fully deserving automatic promotion after finishing second. It was a success built on defensive strength, conceding comfortably the fewest goals of any…
Pre-season projection preview – Manchester City
To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Manchester City. Last Season Manchester City have been the dominant Premier League team over the last few seasons in terms of underlying shot numbers – although trophy return doesn’t quite reflect…
goal projection 