Pre-season projection preview – Leicester City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Leicester City. Last Season Leicester’s remarkable 2015/16 season needs little reminder, and is in no need of further analysis. Some still point to an element of luck – and, sure enough, they…

Pre-season projection preview – Hull City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Hull City. Last Season In many ways Hull City are the antithesis of fellow new-boys Burnley. I rated Hull as the best side in the Championship last season – with the…

Pre-season projection preview – Everton

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Everton. Last Season Everton underperformed last season. And it’s not difficult to identify the problem. Only Norwich and Villa conceded more shots on target. Roberto Martinez paid the price for this…

Pre-season projection preview – Crystal Palace

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Palace. Last Season Palace’s Cup Final appearance masked what was probably considered a poor season. They were solid bottom-half-of-table, without any serious threat of relegation. Goal scoring was the main problem….

Pre-season projection preview – Chelsea

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Chelsea. Last Season In many ways Chelsea’s demise last season was as shocking as Leicester’s ascendancy. And it’s still difficult to explain, given the squad was little changed from the one that…

Pre-season projection preview – Burnley

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Burnley. Last Season Burnley are a team that (like Leicester) defy statistical assessment. They were promoted 4 points clear as champions, yet my shot-based assessment rated them as the 6th best…

Pre-season projection preview – Bournemouth

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Bournemouth. Last Season Bournemouth tailed off towards the end of last season, although they easily achieved their main objective of avoiding relegation. They did well at preventing chances – but one…

Pre-season projection preview – Arsenal

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. First up Arsenal. Last Season There’s not much wrong  with Arsenal (other than never winning anything). Overall they had a strong season, creating chances freely and ultimately finishing second. However, in a…

2016/17 Premier League preview – introduction

With fewer than 2 weeks to go until the start of the 2016/17 Premier League I’m starting to compile my season projections. Where to start? The best place is usually the previous season, and this applies in the Premier League more than any other – with extraordinarily high correlation between consecutive seasons. As the graph…