Pre-season projection preview – Swansea City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Swansea. Last Season After looking like they may become embroiled in a relegation battle, Swansea did well to ultimately finish 12th last season. Overall this position seems about right. Player Turnover…

Pre-season projection preview – Sunderland

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Sunderland. Last Season Sunderland were poor last season. I rated them at the 3rd worst team. Concerningly they conceded more shots on target than any other team last season (and that includes…

Pre-season projection preview – Stoke City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Stoke City Last Season Stoke are an odd team. They appear to be brimming with creative talent (my abiding memory of Stoke last season is how they destroyed both Man City’s and…

Pre-season projection preview – Southampton

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Southampton. Last Season Southampton have become a strong, top half Premier League team. My shot-based rating assessment ranked them 6th last season, and that’s where they finished in the table. Player Turnover…

Pre-season projection preview – Middlesbrough

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Middlesbrough Last Season Middlesbrough has a strong 2015/16 Championship campaign, fully deserving automatic promotion after finishing second. It was a success built on defensive strength, conceding comfortably the fewest goals of any…

Pre-season projection preview – Manchester City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Manchester City. Last Season Manchester City have been the dominant Premier League team over the last few seasons in terms of underlying shot numbers – although trophy return doesn’t quite reflect…

Pre-season projection preview – Manchester United

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Manchester United. Last Season A dull Premier League campaign cost Van Gaal his job – despite winning the FA Cup. Although defensively dominant, only 6 teams registered fewer shots on target…

Pre-season projection preview – Liverpool

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Liverpool. Last Season Despite only finishing 8th, Liverpool were really quite good last season. Using underlying shot data I had them as the 4th best team (above Leicester City). Add to…

Championship 2016/17 Projection

The Championship starts tomorrow. It should be a fascinating season, with two erstwhile Premier League giants and Norwich joining from the top division, first-timers Burton, and clashes between former European Champions and former Champions League winning managers. I’ve run the numbers through my projection model (using my adjusted goals rating system) and it’s produced the following…

Pre-season projection preview – Leicester City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Leicester City. Last Season Leicester’s remarkable 2015/16 season needs little reminder, and is in no need of further analysis. Some still point to an element of luck – and, sure enough, they…

Pre-season projection preview – Hull City

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Hull City. Last Season In many ways Hull City are the antithesis of fellow new-boys Burnley. I rated Hull as the best side in the Championship last season – with the…

Pre-season projection preview – Everton

To enhance my 2016/17 Premier League projection I’m reviewing factors that may impact each team’s strength compared with last season, as explained here. Next up Everton. Last Season Everton underperformed last season. And it’s not difficult to identify the problem. Only Norwich and Villa conceded more shots on target. Roberto Martinez paid the price for this…