Assessing the model 20/03/2016

I’ve started posting Premier League result probabilities and projected goals for each round of matches, using my adjusted goals rating system. As explained, the ratings are long-term, averaged over this season and last season so can be a good starting point for assessing value. But, because they’re long-term, there is much that they don’t take account of – such as injuries, change of tactics, new signings, players transferring out, new manager, new owner, fixture congestion or off the field problems.

So, these aren’t betting tips but an attempt to assess whether and how the market is adjusting for certain factors – which in turn might identify potential value. Even so it’s worthwhile to test the model against the market. I do this by comparing odds against maximum odds on football-data.co.uk.

There are many ways to determine which match to bet on when using a ratings model, but for this assessment I compare against the odds for the match favourite to determine value. If the difference between my model’s probability and 1/odds is 2% or more I assume a unit bet for the favourite, if the difference is -2% or less I assume risking a unit to lay the favourite.

For the 2015/16 Premier League season the summary of results is a follows:

Bet Return Yield
Bet H 88 -14.09 -16.0%
Bet A 7 -0.32 -4.6%
Lay H 63 34.72 55.1%
Lay A 64 -0.85 -1.3%
Total 222 19.47 8.8%

Overall, pleasingly, so far the model outperforms the market. But that’s not to say it always will (it doesn’t every season). And, it’s been a strange season where the market has poorly estimated true probability. In fact a bet on every outcome, at best market odds, would yield 7% – this is unusual. Also, always be wary of a rating system performing too well as I explain here.

It’s interesting which teams over and underperform the market – my model has consistently identified value in betting for West Ham and against Chelsea but adjusted poorly for Spurs and Leicester’s form improvement since last season.

teams

Individual Match results

Date Match Score Bet Return
08/08/2015 Bournemouth v Aston Villa 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
08/08/2015 Chelsea v Swansea 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
08/08/2015 Everton v Watford 2 – 2 No bet 0.00
08/08/2015 Leicester v Sunderland 4 – 2 Bet H 1.03
08/08/2015 Man United v Tottenham 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
08/08/2015 Norwich v Crystal Palace 1 – 3 Bet H -1.00
09/08/2015 Arsenal v West Ham 0 – 2 No bet 0.00
09/08/2015 Newcastle v Southampton 2 – 2 Bet A -1.00
09/08/2015 Stoke v Liverpool 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
10/08/2015 West Brom v Man City 0 – 3 Bet A 0.72
14/08/2015 Aston Villa v Man United 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
15/08/2015 Southampton v Everton 0 – 3 Bet H -1.00
15/08/2015 Sunderland v Norwich 1 – 3 Lay H 0.65
15/08/2015 Swansea v Newcastle 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
15/08/2015 Tottenham v Stoke 2 – 2 Lay H 1.22
15/08/2015 Watford v West Brom 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
15/08/2015 West Ham v Leicester 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
16/08/2015 Crystal Palace v Arsenal 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
16/08/2015 Man City v Chelsea 3 – 0 Bet H 1.17
17/08/2015 Liverpool v Bournemouth 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
22/08/2015 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa 2 – 1 No bet 0.00
22/08/2015 Leicester v Tottenham 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
22/08/2015 Man United v Newcastle 0 – 0 Lay H 2.50
22/08/2015 Norwich v Stoke 1 – 1 Lay H 0.72
22/08/2015 Sunderland v Swansea 1 – 1 Lay A 0.92
22/08/2015 West Ham v Bournemouth 3 – 4 No bet 0.00
23/08/2015 Everton v Man City 0 – 2 Lay A -1.00
23/08/2015 Watford v Southampton 0 – 0 Lay H 0.56
23/08/2015 West Brom v Chelsea 2 – 3 Lay A -1.00
24/08/2015 Arsenal v Liverpool 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
29/08/2015 Aston Villa v Sunderland 2 – 2 Lay H 1.08
29/08/2015 Bournemouth v Leicester 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
29/08/2015 Chelsea v Crystal Palace 1 – 2 Lay H 2.56
29/08/2015 Liverpool v West Ham 0 – 3 Lay H 2.57
29/08/2015 Man City v Watford 2 – 0 Bet H 0.25
29/08/2015 Newcastle v Arsenal 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
29/08/2015 Stoke v West Brom 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
29/08/2015 Tottenham v Everton 0 – 0 Lay H 1.00
30/08/2015 Southampton v Norwich 3 – 0 Bet H 1.07
30/08/2015 Swansea v Man United 2 – 1 Lay A 0.80
12/09/2015 Arsenal v Stoke 2 – 0 Lay H -1.00
12/09/2015 Crystal Palace v Man City 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
12/09/2015 Everton v Chelsea 3 – 1 Lay A 0.95
12/09/2015 Man United v Liverpool 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
12/09/2015 Norwich v Bournemouth 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
12/09/2015 Watford v Swansea 1 – 0 Bet H 1.77
12/09/2015 West Brom v Southampton 0 – 0 Bet A -1.00
13/09/2015 Leicester v Aston Villa 3 – 2 No bet 0.00
13/09/2015 Sunderland v Tottenham 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
14/09/2015 West Ham v Newcastle 2 – 0 Bet H 1.27
19/09/2015 Aston Villa v West Brom 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
19/09/2015 Bournemouth v Sunderland 2 – 0 Bet H 0.75
19/09/2015 Chelsea v Arsenal 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
19/09/2015 Man City v West Ham 1 – 2 No bet 0.00
19/09/2015 Newcastle v Watford 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
19/09/2015 Stoke v Leicester 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
19/09/2015 Swansea v Everton 0 – 0 Lay H 0.72
20/09/2015 Liverpool v Norwich 1 – 1 Lay H 1.44
20/09/2015 Southampton v Man United 2 – 3 Lay A -1.00
20/09/2015 Tottenham v Crystal Palace 1 – 0 Bet H 1.02
26/09/2015 Leicester v Arsenal 2 – 5 Lay A -1.00
26/09/2015 Liverpool v Aston Villa 3 – 2 No bet 0.00
26/09/2015 Man United v Sunderland 3 – 0 Lay H -1.00
26/09/2015 Newcastle v Chelsea 2 – 2 Lay A 1.49
26/09/2015 Southampton v Swansea 3 – 1 Bet H 1.20
26/09/2015 Stoke v Bournemouth 2 – 1 Bet H 1.60
26/09/2015 Tottenham v Man City 4 – 1 No bet 0.00
26/09/2015 West Ham v Norwich 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
27/09/2015 Watford v Crystal Palace 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
28/09/2015 West Brom v Everton 2 – 3 Lay A -1.00
03/10/2015 Aston Villa v Stoke 0 – 1 Lay H 0.63
03/10/2015 Bournemouth v Watford 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
03/10/2015 Chelsea v Southampton 1 – 3 Lay H 1.20
03/10/2015 Crystal Palace v West Brom 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
03/10/2015 Man City v Newcastle 6 – 1 Bet H 0.26
03/10/2015 Norwich v Leicester 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
03/10/2015 Sunderland v West Ham 2 – 2 No bet 0.00
04/10/2015 Arsenal v Man United 3 – 0 Bet H 1.10
04/10/2015 Everton v Liverpool 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
04/10/2015 Swansea v Tottenham 2 – 2 No bet 0.00
17/10/2015 Chelsea v Aston Villa 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
17/10/2015 Crystal Palace v West Ham 1 – 3 Lay H 0.94
17/10/2015 Everton v Man United 0 – 3 Lay A -1.00
17/10/2015 Man City v Bournemouth 5 – 1 Bet H 0.36
17/10/2015 Southampton v Leicester 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
17/10/2015 Tottenham v Liverpool 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
17/10/2015 Watford v Arsenal 0 – 3 Lay A -1.00
17/10/2015 West Brom v Sunderland 1 – 0 Bet H 1.10
18/10/2015 Newcastle v Norwich 6 – 2 No bet 0.00
19/10/2015 Swansea v Stoke 0 – 1 Lay H 0.91
24/10/2015 Arsenal v Everton 2 – 1 No bet 0.00
24/10/2015 Aston Villa v Swansea 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
24/10/2015 Leicester v Crystal Palace 1 – 0 Bet H 1.30
24/10/2015 Norwich v West Brom 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
24/10/2015 Stoke v Watford 0 – 2 Bet H -1.00
24/10/2015 West Ham v Chelsea 2 – 1 Lay A 0.95
25/10/2015 Bournemouth v Tottenham 1 – 5 Lay A -1.00
25/10/2015 Liverpool v Southampton 1 – 1 Lay H 0.90
25/10/2015 Man United v Man City 0 – 0 Lay H 0.61
25/10/2015 Sunderland v Newcastle 3 – 0 No bet 0.00
31/10/2015 Chelsea v Liverpool 1 – 3 Bet H -1.00
31/10/2015 Crystal Palace v Man United 0 – 0 Lay A 0.88
31/10/2015 Man City v Norwich 2 – 1 Bet H 0.31
31/10/2015 Newcastle v Stoke 0 – 0 Lay H 0.68
31/10/2015 Swansea v Arsenal 0 – 3 Lay A -1.00
31/10/2015 Watford v West Ham 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
31/10/2015 West Brom v Leicester 2 – 3 Lay A -1.00
01/11/2015 Everton v Sunderland 6 – 2 No bet 0.00
01/11/2015 Southampton v Bournemouth 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
02/11/2015 Tottenham v Aston Villa 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
07/11/2015 Bournemouth v Newcastle 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
07/11/2015 Leicester v Watford 2 – 1 Lay H -1.00
07/11/2015 Man United v West Brom 2 – 0 Lay H -1.00
07/11/2015 Norwich v Swansea 1 – 0 Bet H 1.55
07/11/2015 Stoke v Chelsea 1 – 0 Lay A 0.89
07/11/2015 Sunderland v Southampton 0 – 1 Bet A 0.85
07/11/2015 West Ham v Everton 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
08/11/2015 Arsenal v Tottenham 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
08/11/2015 Aston Villa v Man City 0 – 0 Bet A -1.00
08/11/2015 Liverpool v Crystal Palace 1 – 2 Lay H 1.40
21/11/2015 Chelsea v Norwich 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
21/11/2015 Everton v Aston Villa 4 – 0 No bet 0.00
21/11/2015 Man City v Liverpool 1 – 4 Bet H -1.00
21/11/2015 Newcastle v Leicester 0 – 3 Lay A -1.00
21/11/2015 Southampton v Stoke 0 – 1 Lay H 1.59
21/11/2015 Swansea v Bournemouth 2 – 2 Lay H 1.08
21/11/2015 Watford v Man United 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
21/11/2015 West Brom v Arsenal 2 – 1 Lay A 1.70
22/11/2015 Tottenham v West Ham 4 – 1 Lay H -1.00
23/11/2015 Crystal Palace v Sunderland 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
28/11/2015 Aston Villa v Watford 2 – 3 No bet 0.00
28/11/2015 Bournemouth v Everton 3 – 3 Lay A 0.64
28/11/2015 Crystal Palace v Newcastle 5 – 1 Lay H -1.00
28/11/2015 Leicester v Man United 1 – 1 Lay A 0.71
28/11/2015 Man City v Southampton 3 – 1 Lay H -1.00
28/11/2015 Sunderland v Stoke 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
29/11/2015 Liverpool v Swansea 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
29/11/2015 Norwich v Arsenal 1 – 1 Lay A 1.54
29/11/2015 Tottenham v Chelsea 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
29/11/2015 West Ham v West Brom 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
05/12/2015 Arsenal v Sunderland 3 – 1 Bet H 0.29
05/12/2015 Chelsea v Bournemouth 0 – 1 Lay H 2.44
05/12/2015 Man United v West Ham 0 – 0 Lay H 2.16
05/12/2015 Southampton v Aston Villa 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
05/12/2015 Stoke v Man City 2 – 0 Lay A 1.35
05/12/2015 Swansea v Leicester 0 – 3 Bet H -1.00
05/12/2015 Watford v Norwich 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
05/12/2015 West Brom v Tottenham 1 – 1 Lay A 1.09
06/12/2015 Newcastle v Liverpool 2 – 0 Lay A 1.55
07/12/2015 Everton v Crystal Palace 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
12/12/2015 Bournemouth v Man United 2 – 1 Lay A 0.72
12/12/2015 Crystal Palace v Southampton 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
12/12/2015 Man City v Swansea 2 – 1 Bet H 0.33
12/12/2015 Norwich v Everton 1 – 1 Lay A 0.64
12/12/2015 Sunderland v Watford 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
12/12/2015 West Ham v Stoke 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
13/12/2015 Aston Villa v Arsenal 0 – 2 Bet A 0.61
13/12/2015 Liverpool v West Brom 2 – 2 Lay H 2.24
13/12/2015 Tottenham v Newcastle 1 – 2 No bet 0.00
14/12/2015 Leicester v Chelsea 2 – 1 Lay A 0.75
19/12/2015 Chelsea v Sunderland 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
19/12/2015 Everton v Leicester 2 – 3 No bet 0.00
19/12/2015 Man United v Norwich 1 – 2 Lay H 2.03
19/12/2015 Newcastle v Aston Villa 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
19/12/2015 Southampton v Tottenham 0 – 2 Bet H -1.00
19/12/2015 Stoke v Crystal Palace 1 – 2 No bet 0.00
19/12/2015 West Brom v Bournemouth 1 – 2 Lay H 0.61
20/12/2015 Swansea v West Ham 0 – 0 Lay H 0.87
20/12/2015 Watford v Liverpool 3 – 0 Lay A 0.96
21/12/2015 Arsenal v Man City 2 – 1 Bet H 1.50
26/12/2015 Aston Villa v West Ham 1 – 1 Lay H 0.55
26/12/2015 Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
26/12/2015 Chelsea v Watford 2 – 2 Lay H 1.92
26/12/2015 Liverpool v Leicester 1 – 0 Bet H 1.00
26/12/2015 Man City v Sunderland 4 – 1 Bet H 0.23
26/12/2015 Newcastle v Everton 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
26/12/2015 Southampton v Arsenal 4 – 0 Lay A 0.84
26/12/2015 Stoke v Man United 2 – 0 Lay A 0.68
26/12/2015 Swansea v West Brom 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
26/12/2015 Tottenham v Norwich 3 – 0 Lay H -1.00
28/12/2015 Arsenal v Bournemouth 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
28/12/2015 Crystal Palace v Swansea 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
28/12/2015 Everton v Stoke 3 – 4 No bet 0.00
28/12/2015 Man United v Chelsea 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
28/12/2015 Norwich v Aston Villa 2 – 0 Bet H 1.10
28/12/2015 Watford v Tottenham 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
28/12/2015 West Brom v Newcastle 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
28/12/2015 West Ham v Southampton 2 – 1 Lay A 0.75
29/12/2015 Leicester v Man City 0 – 0 No bet 0.00
30/12/2015 Sunderland v Liverpool 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
02/01/2016 Arsenal v Newcastle 1 – 0 Bet H 0.30
02/01/2016 Leicester v Bournemouth 0 – 0 No bet 0.00
02/01/2016 Man United v Swansea 2 – 1 Lay H -1.00
02/01/2016 Norwich v Southampton 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
02/01/2016 Sunderland v Aston Villa 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
02/01/2016 Watford v Man City 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
02/01/2016 West Brom v Stoke 2 – 1 No bet 0.00
02/01/2016 West Ham v Liverpool 2 – 0 Lay A 0.92
03/01/2016 Crystal Palace v Chelsea 0 – 3 Lay A -1.00
03/01/2016 Everton v Tottenham 1 – 1 Lay A 0.58
12/01/2016 Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
12/01/2016 Bournemouth v West Ham 1 – 3 Lay H 0.97
12/01/2016 Newcastle v Man United 3 – 3 Lay A 1.21
13/01/2016 Chelsea v West Brom 2 – 2 Lay H 2.11
13/01/2016 Liverpool v Arsenal 3 – 3 Lay A 0.62
13/01/2016 Man City v Everton 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
13/01/2016 Southampton v Watford 2 – 0 Bet H 1.05
13/01/2016 Stoke v Norwich 3 – 1 No bet 0.00
13/01/2016 Swansea v Sunderland 2 – 4 No bet 0.00
13/01/2016 Tottenham v Leicester 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
16/01/2016 Aston Villa v Leicester 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
16/01/2016 Bournemouth v Norwich 3 – 0 No bet 0.00
16/01/2016 Chelsea v Everton 3 – 3 No bet 0.00
16/01/2016 Man City v Crystal Palace 4 – 0 No bet 0.00
16/01/2016 Newcastle v West Ham 2 – 1 Lay H -1.00
16/01/2016 Southampton v West Brom 3 – 0 Bet H 0.80
16/01/2016 Tottenham v Sunderland 4 – 1 Bet H 0.40
17/01/2016 Liverpool v Man United 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
17/01/2016 Stoke v Arsenal 0 – 0 Lay A 0.97
18/01/2016 Swansea v Watford 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
23/01/2016 Crystal Palace v Tottenham 1 – 3 Lay A -1.00
23/01/2016 Leicester v Stoke 3 – 0 No bet 0.00
23/01/2016 Man United v Southampton 0 – 1 Lay H 1.04
23/01/2016 Norwich v Liverpool 4 – 5 Lay A -1.00
23/01/2016 Sunderland v Bournemouth 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
23/01/2016 Watford v Newcastle 2 – 1 Bet H 1.10
23/01/2016 West Brom v Aston Villa 0 – 0 No bet 0.00
23/01/2016 West Ham v Man City 2 – 2 Lay A 1.33
24/01/2016 Arsenal v Chelsea 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
24/01/2016 Everton v Swansea 1 – 2 Lay H 1.36
02/02/2016 Arsenal v Southampton 0 – 0 Lay H 1.25
02/02/2016 Crystal Palace v Bournemouth 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
02/02/2016 Leicester v Liverpool 2 – 0 Bet H 1.65
02/02/2016 Man United v Stoke 3 – 0 Lay H -1.00
02/02/2016 Norwich v Tottenham 0 – 3 No bet 0.00
02/02/2016 Sunderland v Man City 0 – 1 Bet A 0.50
02/02/2016 West Brom v Swansea 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
02/02/2016 West Ham v Aston Villa 2 – 0 Bet H 0.95
03/02/2016 Everton v Newcastle 3 – 0 Bet H 0.72
03/02/2016 Watford v Chelsea 0 – 0 Lay A 0.95
06/02/2016 Aston Villa v Norwich 2 – 0 Lay H -1.00
06/02/2016 Liverpool v Sunderland 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
06/02/2016 Man City v Leicester 1 – 3 Bet H -1.00
06/02/2016 Newcastle v West Brom 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
06/02/2016 Southampton v West Ham 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
06/02/2016 Stoke v Everton 0 – 3 No bet 0.00
06/02/2016 Swansea v Crystal Palace 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
06/02/2016 Tottenham v Watford 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
07/02/2016 Bournemouth v Arsenal 0 – 2 Lay A -1.00
07/02/2016 Chelsea v Man United 1 – 1 Lay H 0.88
13/02/2016 Bournemouth v Stoke 1 – 3 No bet 0.00
13/02/2016 Chelsea v Newcastle 5 – 1 No bet 0.00
13/02/2016 Crystal Palace v Watford 1 – 2 No bet 0.00
13/02/2016 Everton v West Brom 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
13/02/2016 Norwich v West Ham 2 – 2 Lay H 0.69
13/02/2016 Sunderland v Man United 2 – 1 Lay A 1.24
13/02/2016 Swansea v Southampton 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
14/02/2016 Arsenal v Leicester 2 – 1 Bet H 0.80
14/02/2016 Aston Villa v Liverpool 0 – 6 Lay A -1.00
14/02/2016 Man City v Tottenham 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
27/02/2016 Leicester v Norwich 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
27/02/2016 Southampton v Chelsea 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
27/02/2016 Stoke v Aston Villa 2 – 1 Lay H -1.00
27/02/2016 Watford v Bournemouth 0 – 0 Bet H -1.00
27/02/2016 West Brom v Crystal Palace 3 – 2 No bet 0.00
27/02/2016 West Ham v Sunderland 1 – 0 Bet H 0.89
28/02/2016 Tottenham v Swansea 2 – 1 Bet H 0.50
28/02/2016 Man United v Arsenal 3 – 2 Lay A 0.68
01/03/2016 Aston Villa v Everton 1 – 3 Lay A -1.00
01/03/2016 Bournemouth v Southampton 2 – 0 No bet 0.00
01/03/2016 Leicester v West Brom 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
01/03/2016 Norwich v Chelsea 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
01/03/2016 Sunderland v Crystal Palace 2 – 2 Lay H 0.65
02/03/2016 Arsenal v Swansea 1 – 2 Lay H 2.48
02/03/2016 Liverpool v Man City 3 – 0 Lay H -1.00
02/03/2016 Man United v Watford 1 – 0 Lay H -1.00
02/03/2016 Stoke v Newcastle 1 – 0 Bet H 1.05
02/03/2016 West Ham v Tottenham 1 – 0 Lay A 0.93
05/03/2016 Chelsea v Stoke 1 – 1 Lay H 1.81
05/03/2016 Everton v West Ham 2 – 3 Lay H 1.33
05/03/2016 Man City v Aston Villa 4 – 0 Bet H 0.24
05/03/2016 Newcastle v Bournemouth 1 – 3 Lay H 0.58
05/03/2016 Southampton v Sunderland 1 – 1 Bet H -1.00
05/03/2016 Swansea v Norwich 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
05/03/2016 Tottenham v Arsenal 2 – 2 Bet H -1.00
05/03/2016 Watford v Leicester 0 – 1 Lay A -1.00
06/03/2016 Crystal Palace v Liverpool 1 – 2 Lay A -1.00
06/03/2016 West Brom v Man United 1 – 0 Lay A 0.94
12/03/2016 Bournemouth v Swansea 3 – 2 No bet 0.00
12/03/2016 Norwich v Man City 0 – 0 No bet 0.00
12/03/2016 Stoke v Southampton 1 – 2 Lay H 0.53
13/03/2016 Aston Villa v Tottenham 0 – 2 No bet 0.00
14/03/2016 Leicester v Newcastle 1 – 0 Bet H 0.58
19/03/2016 Chelsea v West Ham 2 – 2 Lay H 1.26
19/03/2016 Crystal Palace v Leicester 0 – 1 No bet 0.00
19/03/2016 Everton v Arsenal 0 – 2 No bet 0.00
19/03/2016 Swansea v Aston Villa 1 – 0 No bet 0.00
19/03/2016 Watford v Stoke 1 – 2 Bet H -1.00
19/03/2016 West Brom v Norwich 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
20/03/2016 Man City v Man United 0 – 1 Bet H -1.00
20/03/2016 Newcastle v Sunderland 1 – 1 No bet 0.00
20/03/2016 Southampton v Liverpool 3 – 2 Bet H 1.75
20/03/2016 Tottenham v Bournemouth 3 – 0 Bet H 0.57

 

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