This page shows progression of my Premier League projection, using my adjusted goals ratings method (assumptions explained here).

The projected outcomes depend on 2 inputs:

a) Actual points accumulated to date. As the season progresses, actual points become increasingly important to the final outcome.

b) The relative strength of each team. This is used to simulate the results of future matches.

The strength of each team is updated after each match, and also for player in-comings and outgoings that affect a team’s strength.

After Week 5, 18/09/2017